Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.008088 0.009107 0.010221 0.011534 0.013040 0.014720 0.016740
2024-12-29 0.006413 0.007778 0.009402 0.011489 0.014117 0.017338 0.021620
2025-01-05 0.005744 0.007324 0.009313 0.012029 0.015676 0.020462 0.027305
2025-01-12 0.004923 0.006518 0.008616 0.011615 0.015853 0.021720 0.030617
2025-01-19 0.004330 0.005918 0.008085 0.011309 0.016069 0.022974 0.034008
2025-01-26 0.003947 0.005552 0.007816 0.011308 0.016676 0.024813 0.038470
2025-02-02 0.003770 0.005451 0.007901 0.011815 0.018076 0.027987 0.045464
2025-02-09 0.003475 0.005143 0.007641 0.011754 0.018560 0.029751 0.050357
2025-02-16 0.003263 0.004937 0.007510 0.011871 0.019331 0.032055 0.056507
2025-02-23 0.003016 0.004653 0.007226 0.011701 0.019583 0.033480 0.061237
2025-03-02 0.002863 0.004503 0.007141 0.011850 0.020397 0.035984 0.068390
2025-03-09 0.002684 0.004296 0.006942 0.011776 0.020793 0.037753 0.074339
2025-03-16 0.002438 0.003964 0.006518 0.011287 0.020409 0.038073 0.077535
2025-03-23 0.002287 0.003785 0.006344 0.011237 0.020866 0.040127 0.084888
2025-03-30 0.002241 0.003781 0.006474 0.011763 0.022507 0.044807 0.099026
2025-04-06 0.002063 0.003530 0.006137 0.011360 0.022216 0.045367 0.103574
2025-04-13 0.001917 0.003325 0.005868 0.011062 0.022107 0.046304 0.109219
2025-04-20 0.001823 0.003208 0.005754 0.011061 0.022628 0.048722 0.119109
2025-04-27 0.001797 0.003215 0.005876 0.011555 0.024294 0.054035 0.137823
2025-05-04 0.001708 0.003096 0.005742 0.011495 0.024701 0.056389 0.148861
2025-05-11 0.001645 0.003022 0.005691 0.011610 0.025524 0.059896 0.164021
2025-05-18 0.001557 0.002894 0.005520 0.011443 0.025656 0.061649 0.174282
2025-05-25 0.001507 0.002836 0.005491 0.011589 0.026566 0.065587 0.192324